Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 126.815570 146.547935 169.605880 198.865432 235.480231 280.439126 3.408697e+02
2025-03-09 100.254041 124.580995 156.126074 201.228811 266.195568 360.099164 5.139015e+02
2025-03-16 83.815066 108.786727 143.306412 196.620974 281.193064 419.015318 6.837041e+02
2025-03-23 76.215364 102.677779 141.355647 205.413177 316.753082 521.446517 9.892040e+02
2025-03-30 66.958138 92.442064 131.100463 198.272212 322.895112 573.725407 1.233821e+03
2025-04-06 61.471848 86.903369 126.913030 199.861788 344.668585 666.200914 1.664211e+03
2025-04-13 56.568943 81.551625 122.067264 199.035528 361.180860 755.267184 2.197406e+03
2025-04-20 54.152974 79.801486 122.855066 208.634695 402.669102 930.977110 3.358375e+03
2025-04-27 53.022392 79.967844 126.894550 225.398319 466.972591 1221.264393 5.959576e+03
2025-05-04 49.556560 75.763999 122.411667 223.468861 484.129693 1374.895675 8.455372e+03
2025-05-11 47.048309 72.959253 120.150953 225.899821 514.199645 1607.185619 1.343087e+04
2025-05-18 44.158893 69.201096 115.596052 222.242940 525.698997 1776.741064 1.980155e+04
2025-05-25 41.824636 66.482478 113.242755 224.593134 561.283417 2134.384123 4.006594e+04
2025-06-01 39.703018 63.992492 111.122501 227.391108 601.678351 2607.834652 1.051980e+05
2025-06-08 37.107450 60.362142 106.180052 221.949871 611.203944 2919.186144 2.583629e+05
2025-06-15 36.069312 59.587642 107.140046 232.339043 686.975135 3951.107542 7.341052e+06
2025-06-22 33.709757 56.041382 101.675974 223.898860 682.551729 4275.868641 1.873572e+12
2025-06-29 32.313983 54.276087 99.943614 225.776022 725.006268 5299.507131 NaN
2025-07-06 30.851278 52.256928 97.409388 224.800158 754.823075 6361.424990 NaN
2025-07-13 30.275146 51.974177 98.810983 236.152759 855.148192 9395.519866 NaN
2025-07-20 30.171524 52.645161 102.537325 256.057534 1024.021928 16900.664881 NaN
2025-07-27 28.883220 50.728799 99.783848 253.761525 1059.176258 21375.631151 NaN
2025-08-03 27.948818 49.495595 98.585630 256.654520 1133.419768 30749.563131 NaN